Thursday, October 18, 2018

Skate America 2018: Pairs & Men's Predictions



OK! Time to talk competitors… or at least, competitors that have a better shot at the Skate America podium this weekend. As usual I’m going by event order:

PAIRS (Starts at 10:30 PM Eastern Time Friday)

Gold- Tarasova/Morozov  (RUS)
Silver- Efimova/Korovin (RUS)
Bronze- Scimeca-Knierim/Knierim (USA)

True confession: I looked at the list of 8 pairs at this event and was surprised to see I only recognized 4 of the teams. No lie. And only one of those teams made the top 10 at the Olympics (Tarasova/Morozov); two of the other three teams are American, so…um, no top 10 of any kind there. My prediction for silver could be seen as a nod to SWR (Skating While Russian) since I’m not super-familiar with Efimova/Korovin, but they just won Nebelhorn Trophy a couple weeks ago and that’s a much more legit reason. As it happens, the team right behind them at Nebelhorn was our own S-K/K. So, yeah… let’s see if they can nab a medal here. If so, it’ll be their first GP medal in three years (and third overall).

Eyes on: Digerness/Neudecker—the #3 U.S team this weekend (Cain/LeDuc are #2)… they were the Junior National Champions last year. This is their senior GP debut.


MEN (Starts at midnight Eastern Time Saturday)

Gold- Nathan Chen (USA)
Silver- Sergei Voronov (RUS)
Bronze- Vincent Zhou (USA)

On the other hand, the men’s event caused the phrase you’re still here?? to leap to mind more than once… that’s because 28 year-old Kevin Reynolds, 28 year-old Michal Brezina, 30 year-old Alexei Bychenko AND 31 year-old Sergei Voronov comprise one-third of the SkAM field this year. And if that isn’t interesting enough… I think the oldest of the ones I just named stands the best chance of medaling. (It helps that he took 2nd at Nepela Trophy last month.)

The other side of the men’s SkAM spectrum contains young-uns, among them new Yale undergrad (and reigning World Champ) Chen and still-only-17 Zhou. From what I’ve seen and/or read, neither of them are close to their “A” game right now—Chen’s been ill and is still adjusting to his whole new Ivy League world, and Zhou dealt with back injuries over the summer—but even so, I think they’ll outskate the rest of the pack.

Eyes on: Nam Nguyen—the 20 year-old Canadian has had a whole lot more downs than ups in recent years, but he pulled together a win for September’s U.S. Classic… could be the start of something bigger. Let’s see what he does here.

LADIES AND DANCE PREDICTIONS TOMORROW…

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