Thursday, October 19, 2017

2017 ISU Grand Prix Round 1: Rostelecom Cup Predictions

As you might already know, the ISU has juggled the Grand Prix series once again… Rostelecom Cup leads it this year, with the order of subsequent GP events Skate Canada (10/27-29), Cup of China (11/3-5), NHK Trophy (11/10-12), Internationaux de France (formerly Trophee de France) (11/17-19), and Skate America (11/24-26), with the GP Final for both Junior/Senior held this year in Nagoya December 7-10.

This year icenetwork.com has LIVE coverage planned for all the GP events… BUT… the newly minted Olympic Channel, available “in more than 35 million homes” in the U.S. (according to information released upon the channel’s launch this past July), has it as well. At least, they plan to carry all the same Rostelecom coverage as IN this weekend… I happen to be one of those 35 million homes with The OC (hah—not sure if that abbreviation will work for me anywhere but here!) so I’ll be keeping a close eye on scheduling. In any case, coverage begins at 7AM EDT on 10/20.

Oh, and for NBC’s traditional 2-hour mash-up of highlights, check them out between Noon-2PM EDT this Sunday.

Here’s what I’ve got in the way of predictions this time around…

MEN
GOLD: Yuzuru Hanyu (JPN)
SILVER: Nathan Chen (USA)
BRONZE: Mikhail Kolyada (RUS)

WILD CARD: Denis Ten (KAZ), Nam Nguyen (CAN)
DARK HORSE: Grant Hochstein (USA), Dennis Vasiljevs (LAT)

If you caught Hanyu at the Autumn Classic a few weeks ago, you might think he’s in early-season top form, or you might think he’s a hot mess—it all depends on if you saw his SP or his FS. Which Hanyu will show up in Russia this weekend? Beats me, but either way, he’s still the reigning OGM and World Champ… and that’s why I’ve got him defeating Chen in their first matchup of the season. Kolyada (one of the guys currently attempting a 4lz) rebounded from a subpar SP to win Ondrej Nepela Trophy, so I think he’s a good medal bet here at well.


LADIES
GOLD: Evgenia Medvedeva (RUS)
SILVER: Wakaba Higuchi (JPN)
BRONZE: Mirai Nagasu (USA)

WILD CARD: Mariah Bell (USA), Elizabet Tursynbaeva (KAZ)
DARK HORSE: Carolina Kostner (ITA), Elena Radionova (RUS)

You probably know Nagasu is including triple axels in her programs this season (for the first time in her long, distinguished career), but word on the street is that ALL her jumps are looking stronger than ever right now. I’m not convinced yet that she’s completely turned a corner—seems like it’s always more promise than delivery, and I’ll admit last year’s “Winner Takes it All” FS was ultimately a letdown for me. But what if triple axel success gives Nagasu the lift (pun intended) she needs on other jumps or overall performances?

Kostner’s artistic prowess remains fierce, even if her jump content can’t quite compete with the 3lz/3T queens of today… and Radionova remains captivating even if her consistency has dropped off somewhat. That’s why I’ve got them both as dark horses.


PAIRS
GOLD: Tarasova/Morozov (RUS)
SILVER: Stolbova/Klimov (RUS)
BRONZE: Seguin/Bilodeau (CAN)

WILD CARD: Astakhova/Roganov (RUS)
DARK HORSE: Marchei/Hotarek (ITA)

Gold and silver is just going in order of 2017 Worlds finishes (T/M took Bronze; S/K were 5th). Seg/Bilo actually finished behind Marchei/Hotarek last March, but the latter didn’t look particularly strong at Lombardia Trophy earlier in the fall—in fact, another Italian team (Della Monica/Guarise) finished ahead of them there.


DANCE
GOLD: Bobrova/Soloviev (RUS)
SILVER: Shibutanis (USA)
BRONZE: Gilles/Poirier (CAN)

WILD CARD: Guignard/Fabbri (ITA), Parsons/Parsons (USA)
DARK HORSE: Stepanova/Bukin (RUS)

My goodness… HOW long have Bob/Solo been on the GP circuit? (2007-8 season) And HOW many GP medals have they racked up in that time? (12)
And HOW many times have they won here at Rostelecom? (3 times in 5 attempts)

So, yeah… that’s why.

Look for me on Twitter (@KLBSt8ofSk8); I’ll be live-tweeting and/or commenting on #RostelecomCup2017 throughout the weekend!

No comments: