Thursday, February 22, 2018

The "Carmen Karaoke" Theory

As you know by now, vocals are now permitted in all figure skating programs for the first time ever in Olympic competition. Following a precedent set with ice dance two decades ago, all the young men and women representing one of 32 different countries took Olympic ice this month with the option of using, well, just about any piece of music they (and their coach and/or choreographer) chose.

The (ISU) first allowed vocals in its 2014-15 season, so athletes have had this entire four-year “Olympic cycle” to get comfortable with this seismic shift in the sport. Consequently, audiences are treated to plenty of music that was previously restricted to exhibition (non-competitive) skating, if it was used at all. Whether it’s the familiar late-70s Kansas ballad “Dust in the Wind” (Patrick Chan’s current short program)… new versions of the familiar (Germany’s Paul Fentz using the Paul Anka version of “Wonderwall”)… or something completely unfamiliar to most (Nathan Chen with Benjamin Clementine’s “Nemesis”), the singing and the skating have gone hand-in-hand—or, boot-and-blade—as it never has before on the Olympic stage.

Nonetheless, audiences are still seeing some competitors skating to selections from George Bizet’s Carmen. They’re still hearing the powerful strains of Puccini’s Turnadot. How about Phantom of the Opera, Romeo & Juliet and Rhapsody in Blue?  Yes, yes and yes. They continue to be incredibly well-represented, some both in instrumental and vocal variations.

With so many more options now, you might wonder… why is this still the case??

Consider this theory of mine which involves music, but not the pieces mentioned above—think instead of “Summertime” and “Satisfaction”; of “Imagine” and “Yesterday.” Classics that have been recorded over and over through the years, by a seemingly endless variety of artists. Some covers of the original version become the “definitive” version of a song. Others are utterly forgettable. Most fall somewhere in between.

Skating’s a lot like that. Sure, the Soviet pairs team of Ludmilla and Oleg Protopopov cast a spell over audiences when they skated so elegantly to Beethoven’s “Moonlight Sonata” in the 1968 Grenoble Winter Games…

But that didn’t stop 2006 Olympic Silver Medalist Sasha Cohen from using it in a bid to make the 2010 Olympic team, and it didn’t keep French ice dancers (and now Olympic Silver Medalists) Gabrielle Papadakis & Guillaume Cizeron from trying to cast a whole new spell at these Olympic Games with the same music, some 50 years later.

Also at the 1968 Olympic came future Olympic Bronze Medalist Janet Lynn skating to Debussy’s Prelude to the Afternoon of a Faun-- a piece of music she used so many times through the years it became almost synonymous with her…

But Adam Rippon took it on during the 2013-14 season, and 2014 Olympic Bronze Medalist Carolina Kostner brings it to PyeongChang ice in this, her fourth Olympics.

Sure, it can seem like skaters are trying to reinvent the wheel with each new interpretation of The Classics. But think of Ray Charles giving The Beatles’ “Eleanor Rigby” his own unique flavor of soul...

Think of Janis Joplin taking a turn with Gershwin's "Summertime"...

Think of Israel “Iz” Kamakawiwoʻole!

Who, you ask? Why he’s the Hawaiian performer who took “Somewhere Over the Rainbow” somewhere it’s never been before. He passed away way too soon—at age 38 in 1997, one year before his cover became a long-term staple in TV, films, and commercials—but his creative legacy is secure thanks to his unique version of that pop standard. 


Granted, for every Iz Kamakawiwo’ole there are dozens of singers who do well to simply carry the melody of “Rainbow”. But at this Olympics alone there are four women (to say nothing of any other discipline) using some incarnation of Carmen for one of their programs. Will they leave a lasting impression a la 1984 & ’88 Olympic Gold Medalist Katarina Witt, or (much more recently and remotely) Samantha Cesario of the U.S.

Or will their interpretation be more like Carmen Karaoke?

If current trends are any indication, we’ll get to keep asking these questions for many more years down the road. And with one Olympic ice dance team skating to one of the most-performed songs of the 20th Century (according to BMI)…

And with THREE Olympic skaters/skating teams using TWO different versions of this Leonard Cohen original…

It looks like figure skating better make room for a whole new kind of warhorse in the stable.






Tuesday, February 20, 2018

It's ALL Happening: 2018 Winter Olympics (Ladies Predictions)

And just like that, here we are at the last figure skating event of these Olympic Games!

It's time for the women of the sport to step up, and as with the dance predictions, I'm gonna step a little further out on the limb and try to guess the entire top 10. (I managed to get 60% right on ice dance, but don't worry... I harbor ZERO illusions that this will be as successful!)

My predictions for the ladies are as follows:

GOLD: Evgenia Medvedeva (OAR)
SILVER: Alina Zagitova (OAR)
BRONZE: Gabby Daleman (CAN)- This is as good a guess as I've got for this Wild Card slot

4th: Maria Sotskova (OAR)
5th: Mirai Nagasu (USA)- of course I'd love her to go higher and if she nails both programs (and both triple axels), she will
6th: Kaetlyn Osmond (CAN) because of the ones I've mentioned up to now she's the most inconsistent this year
7th: Satoko Miyahara (JPN) who I adore, but has jumps more prone to underrotations and faltered somewhat at 4CC last month
8th: Bradie Tennell (USA) who has the jumps, quality and consistency, but has the disadvantage of skating first of the 30 athletes tonight and didn't get great component scores in the Team Event
9th: Carolina Kostner (ITA)-- the reigning OBM may make the final flight via her stunning short program, but won't have the technical content to stay that high in the standings
10th: Kaori Sakamoto (JPN) seems to be in a similar situation as Tennell with regards to experience/components, but could prove to be the biggest surprise in this top 10 (in that she could go much, much higher).

Okay, one more: 
11th Karen Chen (USA)... no I didn't forget her; just feel like this is where she'll end up. Hope she's in the single digits though!


Sunday, February 18, 2018

It's ALL Happening: 2018 Winter Olympics (Dance Predictions)

These events are just flying along, so any analysis of the results and/or my predictions will have to come later (except to say WOO HOO! I almost went 2 for 3 on the impossible-to-predict Men's podium!). Ice dance is a-comin', though, so hey, let's try and predict the whole top 10:

GOLD- Virtue/Moir (CAN)
SILVER- Papdakis/Cizeron (FRA)
BRONZE- Shibutanis (USA)

4th- Hubbell/Donohue (USA)
5th- Weaver/Poje (CAN)
6th- Cappellini/Lanotte (ITA)
7th- Chock/Bates (USA)
8th-Bobrova/Soloviev (OAR)
9th- Gilles/Poirier (CAN)
10th- Guignard/Fabbri (ITA)

But FWIW, assuming all teams skate free of egregious errors, I'd rather see Pap/Ciz get the upset. And please don't revoke my U.S citizenship for saying so, but if Wea/Po were somehow able to snatch away that bronze medal I wouldn't be mad...




Thursday, February 15, 2018

It's ALL Happening: 2018 Olympics (Men Predictions)

OK here's what I did: made a list of what I figured to be, in some configuration, the Top 10 at this event...

Then I added two more possibilities and said "OK, here's my Top 12..."

And then I realized (because I was doing all that without looking at the actual roster) that I'd forgotten about Jin Boyang. Whoopsie.

So here we go. I cut one from that list, and am back to 12. 

Who I think will finish somewhere between 7th and 12th (alphabetically):

Alexei Bychenko (ISR)
Misha Ge (UZB)
Mikhail Kolyada (OAR)
Adam Rippon (USA)- sorry; I'd love to see him finish higher
Denis Ten (KAZ)
Vincent Zhou (USA)- even if he hits all his quads I've gotta think his components (artistic) score will be lower than a lot of these guys

Now it gets harder. Who I think will finish between 4th and 6th, alphabetically:

Patrick Chan (CAN)
Jin Boyang (CHN)
Shoma Uno (JPN)

Now it gets freaking impossible, but I'll take a stab at it:

GOLD: Yuzuru Hanyu (JPN)
SILVER: Javier Fernandez (ESP)
BRONZE: Nathan Chen (USA)

OK, locking it in now! Look for me on Twitter as the Olympics continue (@KLBSt8ofSk8).




Tuesday, February 13, 2018

It's ALL Happening: 2018 Olympics (Pairs Predictions)

Oh the irony!!! There's SO much skating to talk about right now with the PyeongChang Winter Olympic Games in full swing-- Mirai's triple axel! Team USA's Bronze! Adam's EVERYTHING!!-- but I'm even more crunched for time than usual so I'm just popping up here to give some PAIRS OLYMPIC PREDICTIONS because the action starts later today and I don't think I'll get another chance to post!!! So without further adieu:


2018 OLYMPIC PAIRS (PREDICTIONS)

GOLD-- Sui/Han (CHN)
SILVER-- Savchenko/Massot (GER)
BRONZE-- Duhamel/Radford (CAN)

DARK HORSE-- Any Russian team (OAR)

More soon!