Thursday, November 3, 2016

State of the Cup of Russia: 2016 Rostelecom Cup Predictions

Like Skate Canada last week, 2016 Rostelecom Cup (Cup of Russia) will be packing all the disciplines into two days (Friday 11/4 and Saturday 11/5)…

This time I have the link for Canadian & U.S. TV schedules, as well as start orders and other good stuff…

And we start with Men and Ice Dance, the latter of which gets started at 7:45 AM (ET) Friday…

(I’ll have my Pairs & Ladies preview up before the Pairs SP starts at Noon)


GOLD: Javier Fernandez (ESP)
SILVER: Shoma Uno (JPN)
BRONZE: Mikhail Kolyada (RUS)


Javi is keeping last year’s Malaguena SP and skates to an Elvis Presley medley in the FS, and I don’t see much keeping him from a third straight Rostelecom victory. His closest competition is likely found in the astoundingly good—if not quite World Champion good— Uno, who of course won Skate America a couple weeks ago. Bronze is a bit of a toss-up, but Kolyada was a surprise 4th at Worlds this year and therefore has the highest pedigree of the three Russian men competing (the other two being Gordei Gorshkov and Artur Dmitriev Jr.). I think he tends to be a more consistent competitor than Aaron (the only U.S. man in the event), and that’s why I’ve got him for bronze. But if Aaron can keep it together, I think he’s got a good podium shot.


GOLD: Chock/Bates (USA)
SILVER: Weaver/Poje (CAN)
BRONZE: Bobrova/Soloviev (RUS)

DARK HORSE: One of the other two Russian dance teams, and if they medal here I promise to use their actual names in the future

Remember Weaver/Poje? The long-suffering runners-up to Virtue/Moir that got as close as 2nd at Worlds two years ago, only to fall back to 3rd the following year and 5th in 2016? The ones who must have been the most thrilled of absolutely anyone to hear that V/M were returning to competition? Well… they’re here, and while this season’s FD to Concierto de Aranjuez doesn’t appear to be a break from their tradition of intriguing, highly dramatic free dances, their SD now promises some Michael Jackson hip-hop. Their SD dance rhythm was originally listed as “country swing” and featured the song “Black Velvet”… which I happen to despise… so I most definitely consider this a win-win. (Except that Chock/Bates will be the team that actually wins here.)

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