Thursday, November 21, 2013

2013 Rostelecom Cup of Russia Preview & Predictions

Rostelecom Cup of Russia predictions are here! Please note that I’ve added some chatter about making it to the GP Final in lieu of my regular notes...

And for the CoR timetable, click here.

Gold- Julia Lipnitskaia, RUS
Silver- Carolina Kostner, ITA
Bronze- Elizaveta Tuktamysheva, RUS

Dark Horse: Kanako Murakami, JPN

Who’s at the Final for sure: Asada, Wagner, Pogorilaya, and Sotnikova
Who’s on the bubble: Radionova, Suzuki

To get to the Final: Lipnitskaia gets there for SURE if she’s anywhere on the podium here. Kostner, Tuktamysheva and Murakami can only get there for SURE if they win. (Getting silver would put each of them at 24 points for the season along with Elena Radionova and Akiko Suzuki, so tiebreakers would come into play.)

Gold- Maxim Kovtun, RUS
Silver- Javier Fernandez, ESP
Bronze- Tatsuki Machida, JPN

Dark Horse: Honestly, with so many withdrawals from this event (Plushenko, Joubert, Reynolds)... I can’t find one.

Who’s at the Final for sure: Chan, Hanyu
Who’s on the bubble: Takahashi, Yan, Oda, Rippon

To get to the Final: Kovtun gets there if he gets anywhere on the podium... Machida gets there if he finishes 4th or higher... if Fernandez (or Richard Dornbush or Joshua Farris for that matter) WINS, it would put him on the 22-point bubble with Rippon, but numerous other things would have to fall into place for him to get there. In other words, it’s still mathematically possible for these three but not very likely.

Gold- Savchenko/Szolkowy, GER
Silver- Moore-Towers/Moscovitch, CAN
Bronze- Bazarova/Larionov, RUS

Dark Horse: Scimeca/Knierim, USA

Who’s at the Final for sure: Volosozhar/Trankov, Pang/Tong
Who’s on the bubble: Duhamel/Radford, Peng/Zhang, Sui/Han, Berton/Hotarek
To get to the Final: Savchenko/Szolkowy need to finish 4th or higher... Moore-Towers/Moscovitch need to finish on the podium... Bazarova/Larionov have a chance if they finish on the podium, but it’s another case of other-things-needing-to-happen-as-well.

Gold- Bobrova/Soloviev, RUS
Silver- Weaver/Poje, CAN
Bronze- Riazanova/Tkachenko, RUS

Dark Horses: Chock/Bates, USA or Gilles/Poirier, CAN

Who’s at the Final for sure: Davis/White, Virtue/Moir, Pechalat/Bourzat, Cappellini/Lanotte
Who’s on the bubble: Ilinykh/Katsalapov, Shibutani/Shibutani

To get to the Final: Both Weaver/Poje and Bobrova/Soloviev need to finish somewhere on the podium... Chock/Bates have an outside chance if they win bronze and a better shot if they finish higher than that (seems very unlikely given their competition, though). 

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